Just as the senior investment manager is more valuable than the junior analyst, investment research that provides reliable forecasts is more useful than that which doesn’t. But reliable forecasts and fresh, risk-adjusted opportunities don’t arise merely from experience. To profitably exploit long-history observations of markets, cycles and politico-economic facts, those observations must first have been validated and quantitatively related.
Indeed, investing knowledge – to be consistently profitable – must be systematic. It must be a logically interconnected structure based on ample, observable facts, testable hypotheses and the prerequisite for predicting future outcomes in any field of endeavor – science-based principles. Forecasters with such systematic knowledge do not produce a jumbled stream of disconnected assertions in commentary that’s typically obsolete within days of its publication. They don’t indulge in naive preoccupations with consequences like myopic trend analyses, sentiment surveys and yesterday’s government press releases pertaining to last month’s accounting data. They don’t seek publicity through bold predictions every January that are proved wrong nearly every following December.
Investing knowledge can and ought to be enduring, not ephemeral; cumulative, not jumbled or random. It can and ought to provide money managers with the means to foresight – namely: consistently correct identifications of today’s causes of asset price changes that will occur in a lagged – hence exploitable – horizon amid changing price relationships in the strategically definitive asset classes, regions, sectors and styles.
We invite you to explore how our disciplined, all price-based research meets each of these criteria – comprising a well integrated, expanding structure of actionable, inter-market forecasting and investment knowledge that can augment your work and results.
View the totality of our sixteen years of research chronologically or by category here, or click the button below to view it in 44 different yet well inter-connected, supporting contexts that are always timely and often timeless – just like the markets, opportunities and dangers we identify and analyze – just like sound, consistently out-performing investing can and ought to be.